{"id":4940,"date":"2015-07-08T09:00:34","date_gmt":"2015-07-08T15:00:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/?p=4940"},"modified":"2015-07-02T13:41:29","modified_gmt":"2015-07-02T19:41:29","slug":"predictive-evaluation-the-other-assessment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/2015\/07\/08\/predictive-evaluation-the-other-assessment\/","title":{"rendered":"Predictive Evaluation &#8211; the Other Assessment"},"content":{"rendered":"<span class=\"span-reading-time rt-reading-time\" style=\"display: block;\"><span class=\"rt-label rt-prefix\">Approximate Reading Time: <\/span> <span class=\"rt-time\"> &lt; 1<\/span> <span class=\"rt-label rt-postfix\">minute<\/span><\/span><div id=\"attachment_4941\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4941\" class=\"wp-image-4941 size-medium\" title=\"&amp;copy; K.Becker &amp; Springer Publishing\" src=\"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/0101-evaluation-300x300.png\" alt=\"0101-evaluation\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/0101-evaluation-300x300.png 300w, http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/0101-evaluation-150x150.png 150w, http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/0101-evaluation.png 828w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4941\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u00a9 K.Becker &amp; Springer Publishing<\/p><\/div>\n<p>When I was studying Ed Tech there was a lot of emphasis on formative and summative evaluation. I never heard any of my professors talk about others.\u00a0When I was working on the <a href=\"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/MagicBullet\/doku.php?id=book:book-toc\" target=\"_blank\">first\u00a0chapter or my upcoming book<\/a>, I realized there are TWO others: predictive, and confirmative. Go figure. I wonder why we never talked about those?<\/p>\n<p>Many people are somewhat confused about the distinction between formative and summative evaluation.<\/p>\n<p>Robert Stake has a great way to distinguish the two:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cWhen the cook tastes the soup, that\u2019s formative; when the guests taste the soup, that\u2019s summative\u201d (Scriven, 1991, p.19)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Although there is some overlap, the image shows how each relates to the design and development process. Here are brief definitions:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Formative<\/strong> evaluation tends to focus on the process and normally takes place before the intervention has been deployed.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Summative<\/strong> evaluation normally takes place after deployment and focuses on its overall effects.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Confirmative<\/strong> evaluation\u00a0 is normally performed after the summative evaluation has been complete for some time, and its purpose is to confirm that the instruction is still effective weeks, months, and even years later.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Predictive<\/strong> evaluation\u00a0takes place before the instruction is developed. As instructional interventions become more and more infused with technology, it becomes more important to do this. My <a href=\"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/MagicBullet\/doku.php?id=book:ch06\" target=\"_blank\">4PEG model for evaluating games<\/a> is a predictive model.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Scriven, M. (1991). Beyond Formative and Summative Evaluation. In M. W. McLaughlin &amp; D. C. Phillips (Eds.), Evaluation and education: at quarter century: National Society for the Study of Education.<\/p>\n<div class='wp_likes' id='wp_likes_post-4940'><a class='like' href=\"javascript:wp_likes.like(4940);\" title='' ><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-likes\/images\/like.png\" alt='' border='0'\/><\/a><span class='text'>Be the first to like.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class='like' ><a href=\"javascript:wp_likes.like(4940);\">Like<\/a><\/div>\n<div class='unlike' ><a href=\"javascript:wp_likes.unlike(4940);\">Unlike<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"span-reading-time rt-reading-time\" style=\"display: block;\"><span class=\"rt-label rt-prefix\">Approximate Reading Time: <\/span> <span class=\"rt-time\"> &lt; 1<\/span> <span class=\"rt-label rt-postfix\">minute<\/span><\/span>When I was studying Ed Tech there was a lot of emphasis on formative and summative evaluation. I never heard any of my professors talk about others.\u00a0When I was working on the first\u00a0chapter or my upcoming book, I realized there &hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/2015\/07\/08\/predictive-evaluation-the-other-assessment\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3,9,24],"tags":[41,389,393],"class_list":["post-4940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-academia","category-educational-technology","category-teaching-learning","tag-education","tag-educational-technology","tag-teaching-learning"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4Hsb6-1hG","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":6311,"url":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/2016\/08\/29\/formative-vs-summative-vs-confirmative-vs-predictive-evaluation\/","url_meta":{"origin":4940,"position":0},"title":"Formative vs Summative vs Confirmative vs Predictive Evaluation","author":"Katrin Becker","date":"August 29, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Confused about the difference between summative and formative evaluation? Did you know there are two other kinds of assessment that we rarely talk about in education? This image from my upcoming book shows where they typically apply in the development lifecycle. Robert Stakes analogy for formative vs summative evaluation is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Educational Technology&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Educational Technology","link":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/category\/educational-technology\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"0101-evaluation","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/0101-evaluation-300x300.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":5117,"url":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/2015\/07\/21\/assessment-as-for-and-of-learning\/","url_meta":{"origin":4940,"position":1},"title":"Assessment, AS, FOR, and OF Learning","author":"Katrin Becker","date":"July 21, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The primary purpose of assessment and evaluation is to improve student learning. I came across this while working on my book. This\u00a0approach has become part of the teaching\u00a0ideology throughout much of Canada (2006 for most of western Canada, 2010 for Ontario, and I'm not sure about the rest of Canada).\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Academia&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Academia","link":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/category\/academia\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.education.vic.gov.au\/PublishingImages\/school\/teachers\/support\/forofas.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":3080,"url":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/2012\/10\/31\/theories-of-games-and-interaction-for-design-8-3-responses\/","url_meta":{"origin":4940,"position":2},"title":"Theories of Games and Interaction for Design (8: 3 Responses)","author":"Katrin Becker","date":"October 31, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"These are public postings of my writings for the first course of the Graduate Certificate Program in Serious Game Design and Research at Michigan State University. Each week, we are required to post three responses\/reactions to queries posted by other members of the class in the previous week. These are\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Computers&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Computers","link":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/category\/computers-2\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":21,"url":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/2007\/08\/02\/clark-is-at-it-again\/","url_meta":{"origin":4940,"position":3},"title":"R.E.Clark is at it again&#8230;.","author":"Katrin Becker","date":"August 2, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Clark, R. E. (2007). Learning from Serious Games? Arguments, Evidence, and Research Suggestions. EDUCATIONAL TECHNOLOGY, May-June 2007, 56-59. Richard E. Clark says, \"My goal in this column is to offer a brief view of the current state of the evidence for the educational benefit of games, discuss a few problems\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Educational Technology&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Educational Technology","link":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/category\/educational-technology\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1913,"url":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/2011\/12\/28\/instructional-media\/","url_meta":{"origin":4940,"position":4},"title":"Instructional Media","author":"Katrin Becker","date":"December 28, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"This is a continuation of the conversation started earlier. This link looks like a good starting point - it lists a lot of important considerations related to the evaluation and selection of media. Sadly, much of it is out of date. It lists computer software as one thing, and digital\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Educational Technology&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Educational Technology","link":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/category\/educational-technology\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3126,"url":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/2012\/11\/03\/where-ive-been-to-nov-3-2012\/","url_meta":{"origin":4940,"position":5},"title":"Where I&#8217;ve Been (to Nov. 3 2012)","author":"Katrin Becker","date":"November 3, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"WebQuest Design Patterns This is a list of patterns derived from existing WebQuests that are instructionally solid. To qualify as a design pattern, the lesson should be easily modified to cover different content while using the same basic structure. Each pattern is distinct from the others in terms of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Educational Technology&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Educational Technology","link":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/category\/educational-technology\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4940","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4940"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4940\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4947,"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4940\/revisions\/4947"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4940"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4940"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/minkhollow.ca\/beckerblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4940"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}